Predicting within-site variability of seismic site response using a geospatial modeling approach,Geo-Risk 2023: Innovation in Data and Analysis Methods, 23–26 July 2023, Arlington, Va

Document Type

Conference Proceeding

Publication Title

American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE): Geo-Risk 2023

Publication Date

7-23-2023

Meeting Name

Geo-Risk 2023

Meeting Date

July 23–26, 2023

Meeting Location

Arlington, Virginia

Abstract/ Summary

The within-site variability of seismic site response describes the randomness in site response from earthquake to earthquake at a single site. Although the within-site variability of seismic site response can be quantified for seismic stations with certain number of earthquake recordings, it remains challenging to estimate the within-site variability of site response across a large region. This paper aims to provide a geospatial modeling framework for predicting the within-site variability using inexpensive statistical learning methods and geospatial proxies. We obtain the within-site variability data using a large number of earthquake recordings from 114 KiK-net vertical array sites. We examine the predictive power of 18 geospatial proxies associated with site stiffness, topography, basin, and saturation conditions in estimating the within-site variability of seismic site response. The results suggest that geospatial modeling shows promise for evaluating site response across broad regions.

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